Thursday horse racing tips from Tom Lunn at Wincanton and Carlisle

talkSPORT have you covered for the horse racing with tips and free bets in the meetings at Wincanton and Carlisle.

Tom Lunn has gone through the race cards, form, going and much more to help guide your horse racing betting choices.

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Thursday racing tips

  • Wincanton – 2.25: Windance 11/4 (NAP – 2pts)
  • Carlisle – 3.10: Choosethenews 9/2 (1pt)

Windance

Usually very consistent over 3m+ and everything was going to plan last time out, despite a lengthy break since his previous run in March 2023, but unseated his rider when seven lengths clear.

Contends with a 5lb rise for that despite not winning but that was impressive, and was even tipped at 12/1 that day.

It was looking like a huge value bet approaching the last fence, being clear of the rest of the field and still going strongly but unfortunately seated the 7lb claimer on board.

Was 2-2 over fences last season over 3m+ with quick wins after the other and thrives over this kind of distance.

The 5lb rise is still probably not enough to stop this horse and looks a good price with little risk attached, as he can get back to consistency under a calculated ride from Sam Twiston-Davies.

Choosethenews

Choosethenews had all the excuses you could possibly need from a horse not running to their level best.

Most read in Horse Racing

Not only did he face a tough task against a horse rated 146, in Giovinco, but he was coming into it on chase debut after 13 months off as well.

If that’s not enough, he didn’t jump well enough to really ever get on terms as he was out to his right every now and again which as we know can knock off a length or so each time.

There’s still more too, the vet reported he’d lost a shoe which can often have an effect, maybe even explain the questionable jumping and coming up against a top-rated horse would only make the loss look worse.

He’s right down in the weights as a result but if there’s improvement he could make a nice comeback having shown promise over hurdles last season.

Tom Lunn’s Racing Tips Profit + Loss

October-Present: +126.52pts
Total from July 2023: +199.89pts

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All odds correct at time of writing

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